AI-capex bubble fears flare as Alphabet and Amazon's spending guides overshadow blowout cloud results
Record quarterly results from Alphabet and Amazon did little to reassure investors worried the AI build-out is outrunning cash flow. Alphabet's 2026 capex guidance of $195-205B (with 2027 signaled above $300B) and a negative free-cash-flow quarter, plus Amazon's roughly $220B capex plan, revived 'circular financing' and AI-bubble concerns — the pattern of chipmakers funding the customers that buy their hardware — and pulled chip and mega-cap tech shares lower into the Oct. 29 close.
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Analysts read record cloud revenue as overshadowed by capex and cash-burn guides that revive bubble and 'circular financing' worries.
AI Weekly and XTB reported Amazon's AWS growth of 39% and Alphabet's record results overshadowed by capex guides — about $220B at Amazon and $195-205B at Alphabet — and negative free cash flow, jolting their shares and feeding a broader debate over whether AI spending has outrun returns.